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Hyperinflationary Depression
Year 1974, 1986, 1998, 2010 what are these years have in common?….Masalah Ekonomi….Mari kita check sikit…..Every 12 years…hmmmmm its remind me the Chinese lunar calendar of TIGER!…Yes tiger and for Chinese the year of the tiger is not very favorable in terms of economy.
Aku ada terfikir mengenai masalah yg bakal dialami oleh malaysia dlm krisis harga minyak yg semakin meruncing. Aku cuba utk mencari istilah yg terbaik dan akhirnya aku menjumpai istilah ini HYPERINFLATIONARY DEPRESSION……Ape tu?..ok lets me give my view on it.
Ok cube baca ni “ The political forces and the Unfunded Liabilities would prevent the powers-that-be from ending the money-printing process, and in fact, would grossly accelerate it. This would result in a hyper inflation (400 percent inflation or more), and the eventual total destruction of the dollar. Suddenly America would find its money totally useless. Store shelves would be empty, gas would go through the stratosphere, and Americans would suffer through the greatest threat since the Great Depression of the ’30s.
Well not so scary isn’t it……but lets me refrained as usual govt will say that the inflation rate is under 4% but base on minyak & beras, I will have to settle it on around 11-12%. Masalah kita ialah wang FIAT(not backed by gold) akan di printkan bagai nak rak oleh negara-negara yg mengalami krisis makanan dan minyak….U.S dollar adalah matawang yg paling good utk di print….dan nilai matawang ini akan jatuh like hell dan akhirnya collapse.
Minyak dan makanan sky rocketed dan kemungkinan inflation rate akan menginap di sekitar 400 PERCENT!!!!. Ini akan menyebabkan HYPERINFLATION.
Ok lah aku ringkaskan sikit penyebabnya dlm bentuk point utk menyedapkan mata memandang.
1. Ekonomi US mengalami recession
2. Devaluation of USD
3. Global warming.
4. China and India main beli je raw material peh tu jual end product lak pada harga yg gilo babun punya murah. Dulu depa ni makan nasi sekali sehari sekarang ni dah masuk tiga kali sehari.
5. Krisis spekulasi harga minyak yg akan sampai USD200.00 setong
6. Krisis makanan yg dibuat-buat , spekulasi dan krisis benar (seperti yg berlaku di philipine)
7. Printing of USD oleh negara ketiga dan juga penyangak matawang
8. Penggunaan kad kredit yg over the limit (beli minyak pakai kredit kad peh tu tak leh nak kontrol dah)
9. Shelves kat supomaket kosong disebabkan oleh aktiviti sorok/bekalan yg mmg takde. Hint dia dah pun berlaku kat sini apabila bekalan minyak masak/beras/gula/tepung langsung takde.
10. Kos pembajaan, pengangkutan,pemprosesan yg meningkat berkali ganda and at the same time depa try to minimize the impact to consumer. Ini akan menyebabkan pembuangan pekerja utk reducing cost…pengangguran bertamabh berlipat kali ganda.
11. Pergerakan M3 telahpun meningkat sebyk 17.1% dan semakin laju.
12. Disiplin penggunaan wang akan berkurang.
13. Harga property meningkat sehingga org dah tak mampu nak beli and at the same time developer tak leh nak reduce the cost
14. Interest rate by the fed…..can they remain low?….I don’t think so!!
15. Bertambahnya hutang luar gomen, not just malaysia but around the world and I foresee that some of the country will be facing danger of bankruptcy.
16. Oil prices are near historic highs, the dollar is near historic lows, and money growth is at an all-time high. The near-term outlook for all three is for new record levels and for extremely strong upside pressure on U.S. inflation. … gold prices should continue setting new historic highs.
17. Satu lagi….subprime crisis in US.
All of these will increase in overtime.
Hyperinflationary Great Depression lak, ok bro.
Great depression ni org tak de duit bro….yelah mana nak ade duit gaji tak naik tapi barang lak naik macam lahabau. Theory of supply and demand does no longer exist…..Supply kurang harga barang naik org lak tak mampu nak beli….harge barang gone haywire…depa tak tau nak letak harga berapa because of harga minyak yang tak menentu.
USD akan dlm massive attack dr depan kiri kanan belakang sampaikan Fed Resrv forced to monetize significant sums of treasury debt. As a results the duit will disappear from circulations.
Kadar pengangguran akan bertambah dan cutting cost akan memberi efek kpd pekerja…(menteri/wakil rakyat dah pun start)….camne nak belanja? Luxury goods list of paper will be the first to put into the trash. In anyhow the essential will come first…no more McD for kids or apak-apak minum air kosong je la peh ni.
Sektor pembuatan pula akan decline sharply dan diikuti pula oleh sektor pertanian…..global warming, raw material crisis, china and india factor adalah penyebab utama dan pada aku pertambahan penggunaan dr china dan india adalah umpama penambahan penggunaan kependudukan sebanyak 2 billion dari normalnya sebyk 4billion (4+2=6++ bill penduduk dunia)…..ini adalah 1/3 punya increase on demand of energy and food.
At the worst scenario, dooms day…hehehehe toksah le panik sangat….aku believe yg kita perlu bersedia je bukannya panik…..camna nak prepare?…..simpan duit dlm bentuk emas dan bukannya paper money….mintak doa kat Allah supaya benda ni tak berlaku…..dan ambil iktibar dari kisah nabi yusuf dan mudah mudahan kita terdiri dari golongan yang berfikir.
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